580. 二人行必有我师(2 / 2)

董锵锵留德记 Heiko 1319 字 2022-04-21

“您的好意我心领了,但生意归生意,按原来的算就好。”董锵锵客套道。

“不不不!”老板生怕董锵锵因为这个不帮自己去说情,赶忙斩钉截铁地说道,“其实上次您在餐馆时我就想这么说了,但当时事情多我又急又乱,就没顾上说。正好今天说到这了,就把它定下来吧。我是真心想交您这个朋友的。”

对方言辞恳切,董锵锵心知再推下去没个头,只能依他:“那我先谢谢您了,回头我就跟我朋友们去说,让大家都去万福捧场。”

“那我先谢谢了,等您有空再来汉堡一定来我这里坐坐。”老板说完美滋滋地挂了电话。

端木的电话刚一接通,董锵锵抢先说道:“安然果然又跌了。”

“这是必然的,它的事现在已经闹大了,有传闻说美国证券交易委员会已经盯上它了,大部分投资机构都认为它还会继续跌,直到退市。”端木振振有词地补充道。

“既然大家都不看好它,股市里肯定会有挤兑式抛售,那它的股价为什么没有直接跌到个位数?”董锵锵这几天一直没想明白这个问题。

“呵呵,美国股市历史上都没出现过你说的那种股价直接清零的极端情况,”端木笑呵呵地答道,“更别提还有大量做空机构的存在。”

“这和做空机构有什么关系?”董锵锵这部分知识储备很少。

“比如安然现在的股价是20美元/股,你预期因为各种因素下周它的股价会跌到10美元/股。但此时你的账户里并没有安然的股票,而你也不可能花钱去买它的股票(因为股票主要是从股价上涨中获利),这时你可以通过一个允许借贷股票的第三方平台进行某种类似赊账的股票交易。简单说就是,你可以通过平台从那些手中有安然股票的机构中借来1000股,当然你要负担一些成本,比如借股票你花了5000美元。这时你就可以在股市中卖出你手中有的1000股安然股票,得到20000美元。等到下周它的股价真的跌到10美元/股时,你再花费10000美元从股市中买回来1000股,然后通过平台把1000股还给原先出借股票给你的机构。整套流程下来,你一共得到了20000-10000-5000=5000美元。当然这只是一个最浅显的例子,实际中还会有些平台手续费之类的费用,但你的利润大头已经锁定无疑。”

“所以你的意思是,因为有这些做空交易的存在,所以它的股价很难一次跌到底?”董锵锵疑惑道,“那我有个问题,还用你这个例子说,如果出借股票的机构通过借出股票获利了5000美元,但当它拿回1000股时,它的股票账面亏损就变成了10000美元,而这是远远大于它的获利的。这种情况下,为什么会有金融机构愿意出借自己的股票给其他人而不是选择尽快卖掉逃跑呢?”

“因为选择做空的投资者有可能会出现判断失误。本来20美元/股的股票在一周后不仅没有跌到10美元/股,反而涨到了22美元/股,这时,对这些出借股票的机构来说,它就相当于额外获利了5000美元。归根到底,是因为不同的投资者对同一只股票未来股价的预期不同,所以他们在股市中做出的选择也会大相径庭。用句时髦的话来说,所有的投资者都是非理性的,也包括你和我。”端木把自己一周所学倾囊相授,讲完的同时内心也获得了极大的满足。

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PS1、原创不易。感谢书友们的支持!

PS2、欢迎来起.点.中.文.网.读正版原创小说《董.锵.锵.留.德.记》,第一时间更新,风雨无阻。欢迎书友来评论交流。

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